The EU has announced on the production of photovoltaic products from China to impose provisional anti-dumping duty, the EU economic and trade relationship thereby affected. Both sides not only the PV industry will suffer huge losses, other European industries have begun to worry about the joint impact of trade friction caused.
Analysts believe that, in addition to economic losses, the decision-making process of the EU PV case also exposed the arbitrary act, the lack of long-term vision defects. In entering the critical period of the current European efforts to get rid of the economic crisis, a sense of trust in the EU European citizens will also been hit.
Negotiations on the economic impact of unprecedented uncertainty
The European Commission announced on the 4th, within two months from the European Union from June 6 on the production of photovoltaic products from China of 11.8% imposed provisional anti-dumping duty, if the two sides failed to reach EU compromise within two months, the anti-dumping tax rate will rise from 6 August by 47.6%.
From the case itself, an unprecedented lethality, and this practice "dog in the manger." EU taxation of photovoltaic products covering more than 200 billion dollars in Chinese exports to the EU, accounting for about 7% of China's total exports to the EU, affecting thousands of companies China PV industry and over 40 million people. For the EU, some manufacturers of photovoltaic products may therefore benefit, but more numerous, larger scale, more capable of creating jobs upstream and downstream enterprises photovoltaic industry will suffer a serious blow to the European consumer demand for PV products may also be reduced, which may result in the loss of 242,000 jobs and a € 27.2 billion (about 35.3 billion U.S. dollars) of "added value" within the EU for three years.
But the door to negotiations is not completely closed, the next two months is the critical period. According to a senior industry sources, the European Commission from the previous "wild speculations" approach, the negotiation process in Central Europe will be very difficult. In addition, the industry also warned that after the anti-dumping measures, the Commission may also announce the results of countervailing investigation in July, and to submit the proposal to impose provisional countervailing duty member, "placed in front of the Chinese PV companies another battle broke out. "
Bilateral trade show pressure ripple effect
Publicly available data, 2012 China-EU trade volume shrank 3.7 percent in the first quarter of this year fell 1.9%. Recently, in addition to the PV case, from China's wireless communication devices have also been the EU "double reverse" investigation, to the future development of China-EU bilateral trade adds more uncertainty.
Representatives of China's Ministry of Commerce Zhong Shan said international trade negotiations, the European Union recently launched an attack on China-related products, and related industries in China will have serious damage to the employment of labor, the overall situation of China-EU economic and trade relations have been seriously affected, this is China can not trade protectionism accepted.
"Bilateral trade is huge, some trade friction is normal, the key is how to properly handle," Zhong said, "China advocates the settlement of trade disputes through dialogue and consultation."
? China "cardinal," the statement can return the EU's "overall situation" will become part of the trade friction could get the key to effective control, however, has appeared in a number of negative emotions related industries dependent on trade.
The European Automobile Manufacturers Association said that if the EU can not quickly improve the current tense atmosphere, the risk of a trade war will intensify. The association said some German manufacturers look at this issue very seriously, which is considered a real threat. German automotive industry association VDA also called on the EU and China at the negotiating table to resolve the current trade friction. Some countries support China PV industry to impose anti-dumping duties also feel the pressure of EU-China trade tensions.
Differences between the EU decision to expand or make promises
From the desk of Huaguang can see that China-EU trade disputes within Europe has led to disagreement about the trade sanctions, and even get a glimpse of the ability to control the EU backwards, exposing its flaws arbitrary act, to lead Europe out of the crisis inadequate leadership.
The Commission had proposed that China was opposed to tax PV, including Germany, the United Kingdom's 18 member states, the European Union more than 700 corporate executives PV EU Trade Commissioner De Gucht had also sent a joint letter expressed strong opposition. But China is still the case of PV sanctions passed, surprising.
As the industry focuses, different levels of development and other reasons, among the EU member states to adopt the views of trade sanctions on a product is not unified the sensible things, but in the case of violation of the principle of voting "majority" of the adoption of the resolution, The EU is wrong to act in the show demonstrated.
European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso said in a speech a few days ago, the EU needs to reach a consensus in favor of the overall interests and the interests of all members of the EU policy, to avoid passing different information or different government bickering and split public opinion, undermine confidence. "Lack of confidence is the biggest obstacle facing the development of the EU economy."
But the overriding will of the majority of member states to use sanctions act, may deepen the debt crisis in Europe after the EU public distrust. According to EU investigation agency "Euro barometer" of the latest data show that in the EU accounted for over two thirds of the population of Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Spain and Poland six countries, the proportion of people do not trust the EU and more than 50% Spanish public vote of no confidence for the EU as much as 72%